There’s a tension hiding inside most “AI productivity” conversations that nobody wants to address directly. The DORA Report found that over 80% of developers believe AI makes them more productive. But a separate METR study, a randomized controlled trial with 16 experienced open-source developers across 246 real tasks found that allowing AI tools actually increased task completion time by 19%. Developers were slower when using AI than without it. Those two findings aren’t necessarily contradictory. They point at something more nuanced: AI productivity isn’t automatic. It depends entirely on how…
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